2017年以来,随着"大气污染成因与治理攻关项目”(总理攻关)开展,很多城市结合攻关模式建立起了"一市一策”的大气污染防治及管理的新模式,实现了"边研究、边产出、边应用”,加快了研究成果快速转化,有力支撑了城市精准治污。另一方面,城市"一市一策”空气质量管理中涉及的问题包罗万象,情况复杂,时效性要求高,包括又不限于:数据分析、信息化应用、大气污染成因分析、行业企业管理、企业帮扶培训、舆情应对、新技术推广、反击伪科学、管理新思路讨论、新政策解读等许多方面。城市"一市一策”工作涉及众多的第三方服务机构,虽各有所长,也各有所短,许多重要的理论、技术、方法、政策、科普和舆情引导工作需要及时交流、宣传和推广。本书以此需求为目标,为同行开展以上工作提供参考。
段菁春,中国环境科学研究院,研究员,博士。长期从事环境观测及管理方面的研究工作,先后开展过大气有机污染物迁移转化、臭氧及灰霾生成机制、颗粒物源解析,城市空气质量管理等领域的研究。发表论文学术论文60余篇,其中20余篇被SCI收录。
第一章 思想理论 ·······················································································.001
什么是多证据耦合? ··············································································.002
关于近地面臭氧生成问题的纯理性思考 ·····················································.005
臭氧污染的三个关键影响因素及组合 ························································.010
“一市一策”大气污染成因分析的几点思考 ·················································.016
成因与机制 ··························································································.019
“一市一策”跟踪研究的心得与体会(概述) ··············································.022
“一市一策”跟踪研究的心得与体会(技术篇) ···········································.025
“一市一策”跟踪研究的心得与体会(服务篇) ···········································.028
“一市一策”跟踪研究的心得与体会(管理篇) ···········································.032
大气环境管理需要注意的无效科学研究 ·····················································.035
科学研究中常见的假象型错误··································································.038
受体源解析技术的缺陷与展望··································································.041
大气环境研究领域中的想象与实践 ···························································.044
荒诞科学:基于敏感性分析控制臭氧 ························································.048
荒诞科学:低维度的努力战胜不了高维度的问题 ·········································.050
为什么要开展重污染应急? ·····································································.052
如何看待重污染预警应急及其效果? ························································.058
关于空气质量考核方式的若干建议 ···························································.061
SO2 总量控制经验对 PM2.5与 O3 协同控制的启示 ··········································.063
“一市一策”建议:重视秋冬季夜间污染排放管控 ········································.065
不要误把局地污染连片化当作传输型区域污染 ············································.069
建议提高环境空气质量监测中 CO 的测量精度 ·············································.071
第二章 科学研究 ·······················································································.076
污染特征雷达图的设计与应用··································································.077
PM2.5 爆发式增长成因及案例分析 ·····························································.086
京津冀及周边地区春节烟花影响识别和定量方法 ·········································.096
为什么会出现夜间臭氧浓度“居高不下”,有什么分布规律,又是什么原因?········.102
“攻关”案例分析:高山站对臭氧区域污染过程划分的启示 ····························.106
开展大气污染成因分析的基本原则 ····························································.111
数据指标化:臭氧污染日变化过程的参数化 ·················································115
中国 340 个城市大气污染类型划分及历史演变 ············································.120
地面观测的立体解析(O3 篇) ·································································.123
大气颗粒物中氯的指示意义 ·····································································.130
第三章 技术方法 ·······················································································.135
利用时序污染特征雷达图观察沙尘影响过程 ···············································.136
技术普及:怎样读懂臭氧激光雷达图 ························································.140
技术评论:微站、走航、激光雷达、高空摄像头、无人机、组分网等以及未来技术
·········································································································.146
空气质量常规六项分析技术与要点(1):PM10和 PM2.5 ·································.150
空气质量常规六项分析技术与要点(2):SO2、NO2 和 CO ·····························.154
空气质量常规六项分析技术与要点(3):O3 ···············································.159
多种臭氧污染变化过程的成因判别依据 ·····················································.163
大气颗粒物污染数据分析技术路线 ···························································.167
O3 污染数据分析技术路线 ·······································································.172
空气质量站点仪器系统性偏差评估方法 ·····················································.176
利用统计性距平实现污染方位的时空精准 ··················································.180
案例分析:监测仪器精准度对成因分析的影响 ············································.185
卫星火点中固定火热点位识别方法 ···························································.190
第四章 案例实践 ·······················································································.193
“一市一策”技术帮扶:运行问题或运维问题? ···········································.194
“一市一策”案例:PM2.5异常高值成因分析 ················································.198
“一市一策”案例:“我们的 NO2 和 CO 为什么比邻居城市高? ·······················.204
“攻关”案例分析:SO2 与硫酸盐哪里来? ··················································.207
“一市一策”案例:看不见的一氧化氮(NO) ·············································.214
简单数据深度分析:两类 CO 高值事件 ······················································.218
简单数据深度分析:O3 的指示意义 ···························································.221
第五章 工具应用 ·······················································································.224
VOCs 排放源谱与特征物种互查系统(天蓝源谱)面向社会开放使用 ···············.225
“天蓝卫士”微信小程序动态成因分析平台助力打赢蓝天保卫战 ······················.227
第六章 政策解读 ·······················································································.229
涉臭氧污染防治最新政策文件的解读 ························································.230
重污染应急技术:“绩效分级,差异化管控” ··············································.234
《附件 1:重污染天气消除攻坚行动方案》学习心得 ······································.237
“基本消除重污染天气”的形势与对策 ·······················································.242
第七章 公众科普 ·······················································································.247
雾霾真凶,PM2.5 兄弟们的真面目 ·····························································.248
相对湿度是怎样加重大气污染的 ······························································.255
O3 在大气中的寿命有多长 ·······································································.260
关于雾炮车功能和效果的纯理性思考 ························································.262
科普进阶:PM2.5 为什么测不准 ································································.264
蓝天与晚霞过渡的地方是什么颜色 ···························································.267
环保人物:“老头儿”调研记 ···································································.269
第八章 时事评论 ·······················································································.273
烟花还是少放好 ····················································································.274
烟花燃放:守法与刚需 ···········································································.276
秸秆禁烧问题的舆情分析 ········································································.278