As one of the most dynamic and potential areas of the world's economic development, Southeast Asia is rich in natural resources with a remarkable demographic dividend. In recent years, regional integration has been continuously promoted and its infrastructure has been constantly improved with the upgrading of the industrial structure. However, the region still has more than 30 million people without access to electricity, and electricity consumption per capita is less than half the world average. With the living standard improving and population raising, issues such as energy security, serious environmental pollution, climate crisis, and other serious challenges will occur if the region continuing relies on fossil energy. Therefore, guided by the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, the Paris Agreement, and the ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation 2016-2025, the Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection needs to be built based on the clean energy resources, mineral resources, and human resources to achieve sustainable development. It will promote clean development and provide sustainable energy for all, turn regional energy resources into economic benefits, improve people's livelihood, reduce poverty, as well as narrow the development gap in the region. It will also fundamentally solve the problem of energy supply for regional economic development and enable the coordinated development of economy, society and environment.
1.报告研究范围主要覆盖东南亚十一国,按照地理位置分为中南半岛和马来群岛两大区域,研究范围全面广泛且具体按照国别进行研究与规划,可供相关国家政府部门及学者进行参考。
2.内容新颖权Q威,作者作为国际认可的研究机构,所进行的相关研究在国内,乃至国际均为S次提出,填补了研究领域的空白;研究成果为全球相关资质、机构等认可
一、前言
Asia, being a large economy, is an important engine for stimulating global economic growth. Most Asian countries are developing countries with huge potential. However, Asia still faces challenges such as economic disparity, energy security, and carbon emissions reduction against climate change.
Therefore, the need for sustainable development in the region is urgent. The core of sustainable development is clean development, of which the key is to promote Clean Replacement on the energy production side, and Electricity Replacement on the energy consumption side. Clean Replacement is to use clean alternatives in energy production, replacing fossil fuels with hydro, solar, and wind energies. Electricity Replacement is to promote electricity consumption by replacing the usage of coal, oil, natural gas and firewood with electricity. Asian Energy Interconnection is a modern energy system which is clean energy-dominated, electricity-centered, interconnected and shared by all. It is an important platform for large-scale exploitation, transmission and utilization of clean energy. Asia should push for an overall balanced development of its economy based on abundant clean energy and mineral resources, and promote low-carbon energy transition. Regional integration and cooperation should be deepened to respond to climate change, and achieve the grand purpose of economic prosperity, social
progress and ecological protection.
Southeast Asia, which is one of the most active economies in the world, is a power demand center of Asia in the future. Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection will give a full play to the role of exchange platforms and mechanisms such as “Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)+X”, and to the geographical advantage of being adjacent to east Asia, South Asia and Oceania. It will facilitate countries in the region to release the potential of their clean energy resources, address development challenges and promote regional economic transformation and upgrading. As an important part of Asian Energy Interconnection, Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection is an overall systematic and innovative solution for energy transition and low-carbon development, which contributes to the overall development of Asian Energy Interconnection.
This report is one of Asian Energy Interconnection research series. The content is divided into 6 chapters: In Chapter 1, the development status of the economy, society, resources, environment, energy and electricity in Southeast Asia is introduced, challenges of sustainable development and energy transition are analyzed, and development ideas of Asian Energy Interconnection are proposed. In Chapter 2, the development trend of energy and power transition in Southeast Asia is prospected with corresponding scenarios to achieve the temperature control target of Paris Agreement. In Chapter 3, the distribution of clean energy resources and the layout of large power generation bases are studied. In Chapter 4, based on the power balance analysis, the overall pattern and interconnection schemes of Southeast Asian power grid interconnection are proposed. In Chapter 5, comprehensive benefits of Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection are evaluated. In Chapter 6, policy and mechanism are proposed to related stakeholders.
This report could provide guidelines for governments, international organizations, energy enterprises, financial institutions, universities and relevant individuals in policy formulation, strategic research, technological innovation, project development, international cooperation, etc. However, there might be inadequacies as limited data and time for research and compilation. Comments and suggestions are welcome for further improvements.、
全球能源互联网发展合作组织(简称合作组织),是由致力于推动世界能源可持续发展的相关企业、组织、机构和个人等自愿组成的国际组织。注册地设在北京。
合作组织的宗旨是推动构建全球能源互联网,以清洁和绿色方式满足全球电力需求,推动实现联合国“人人享有可持续能源”和应对气候变化目标,服务人类社会可持续发展。
合作组织将积极推广全球能源互联网理念,组织制定全球能源互联网发展规划,建立技术标准体系,开展联合技术创新、重大问题研究和国际交流合作,推动工程项目实施,提供咨询服务,引领全球能源互联网发展。
Preface
Study Region
Summary
1 New Developing Opportunities for
Southeast Asia / 01
1.1 Economy and Society / 02
1.1.1 Macro Economy / 02
1.1.2 Humanity and Society / 03
1.1.3 Regional Cooperation / 05
1.1.4 Development Strategy / 06
1.2 Energy and Power / 08
1.2.1 Energy Development / 08
1.2.2 Power Development / 11
1.3 Sustainable Development Ideas / 15
1.3.1 Development Concept of Global Energy Interconnection / 15
1.3.2 Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection Promotes Sustainable
Development in the Region / 17
2 Energy and Power Development
Trend and Outlook / 19
2.1 Energy Demand / 20
2.1.1 Primary Energy / 20
2.1.2 Final Energy / 22
2.2 Power Demand / 25
2.3 Power Supply / 30
3 Development Layout of Clean
Energy Resources / 35
3.1 Distribution of Clean Energy Resources / 36
3.1.1 Hydro Energy / 36
3.1.2 Wind Energy / 39
3.1.3 Solar Energy / 39
3.1.4 Geothermal Energy / 40
3.2 Layout of Clean Energy Bases / 41
3.2.1 Hydropower Bases / 41
3.2.2 Wind Power Bases / 42
3.2.3 Solar Power Bases / 42
4 Power Grid Interconnection / 45
4.1 Power Flow / 46
4.1.1 Regional Demand and Supply Balance Analysis / 46
4.1.2 Power Flow / 47
4.2 Power Grid Interconnection / 50
4.2.1 Overall Pattern / 50
4.2.2 Prospect of Interconnection Schemes / 51
4.3 Key Interconnection Projects / 56
4.3.1 Key Inter-Regional and Inter-Continental Projects / 56
4.3.2 Key Regional Projects / 59
4.4 Investment Estimation / 60
4.4.1 Investment Estimation Principle / 60
4.4.2 Investment Estimation Results / 61
5 Comprehensive Benefits / 63
5.1 Economic Benefits / 64
5.2 Social Benefits / 65
5.3 Environmental Benefits / 65
5.4 Political Benefits / 67
6 Policy and Mechanism / 69
References / 72