《经济学经典教材·核心课系列:计量经济学原理与实践》是古扎拉蒂集数十年教学经验、采用“干中学”(learning by doing)的方法组织教学材料编写的计量经济学教科书,没有烦琐复杂的理论推演和艰深的数学讨论。本书从一个非常实用的角度解释计量经济学,每一章都由一到两个生动的案例来展开教学。每一个主题背后的基本理论均得到涵盖,基础的统计学概念在附录中给出,这都使得本书不但结构灵活,而且内容丰富。本书是计量经济学初学者的首选佳作。
Econometrics by Example (EBE) is written primarily for undergraduate students in economics, accounting, finance, marketing, and related disciplines. It is also intended for students in MBA programs and for researchers in business, government, and re-search organizations.
There are several excellent textbooks in econometrics, written from very elementary to very advanced levels. The writers of these books have their intended audiences. I have contributed to this field with my own books, Basic Econometrics (McGraw-Hill,5thedn, 2009) and Essentials of Econometrics (McGraw Hil,4thedn,2009). These books have been well received and have been translated into several languages, EBE is different from my own books and those written by others in that it deals with major topics in econometrics from the point of view of their practical applications. Because of space linutations, textbooks generally discuss econometric theory and illustrate econometric techniques with just a few examples. But space does not permit them todeal with concrete examples in detail.
In EBE, each chapter discusses one or two examples in depth. To give but one illustration of this, Chapter 8 discusses binary dummy dependent variable regressionmodels. This specific example relates to the deasion to smoke or not to smoke, takingthe value of 1 if a person smokes or the value of 0 if he/she does not smoke. The data consist of a random sample of119 US males. The explanatory variables considered are age, education, income, and price of agarettes. There are three approaches to modeling this problem: (1) ordinary least-squares (OLS), which leads to the linear probability model (LPM), (2) the logit model, based on the logistic probability distribution, and (3) the probit model, based on the normal distribution.
Which is a better model? In assessing this, we have to consider the pros and cons of all of these three approaches and evaluate the results based on these three competingmodels and then decide which one to choose. Most textbooks have a theoretical discussion about this, but do not have the space to discuss all the practical aspects of a given problem.
达摩达尔·古扎拉蒂( Damodar Gujarati) ,美国西点军校的经济学荣誉退休教授。他曾在纽约城市大学执教达25年之久,之后又在纽约美国西点军校政治科学系执教17年。古扎拉蒂在美国及世界知名的学术期刊上发表了大量论文,这些期刊包括《经济学与统计学评论》(Review of Economics and Statistics)、《经济学杂志》(Economic Journal)、《金融与数量分析杂志》(Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis)和《商学杂志》(Journal of Business)等。他的《计量经济学基础》是全球最流行的计量经济学教材之一,被翻译成多种语言出版(中文版由中国人民大学出版社出版)。
前言
致谢
来自作者的提示
表目录
图目录
第一部分 线性回归模型
第1章 线性回归模型:一个概览
第2章 回归模型的函数形式
第3章 定性解释变量回归模型
第二部分 经典线性回归模型的重要评估
第4章 回归诊断I:多重共线性
第5章 回归诊断II:异方差性
第6章 回归诊断III:自相关
第7章 回归诊断IV:模型设定错误
第三部分 横截面数据回归模型
第8章 logit和probit模型
第9章 多项回归模型
第10章 序数回归模型
第11章 限值因变量回归模型
第12章 对计数数据建模:泊松和负二项回归模型
第四部分 时间序列计量经济学论题
第13章 平稳和非平稳时间序列
第14章 协积和误差校正模型
第15章 资产价格波动性:ARCH和GARCH模型
第16章 经济预测
第17章 面板数据回归模型
第18章 生存分析
第19章 随机回归元和工具变量方法
附录1 文中使用的数据集
附录2 统计学附录
索引